Solar activity in extended cycles | |
Li KJ(李可军)1,2,3; Yun, HS1,3; Liang HF(梁红飞)1,4; Gu XM(顾啸马)1,4; Li, KJ (reprint author), Natl Astron Observ, Beijing, Peoples R China. | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SPACE PHYSICS |
2002-07 | |
卷号 | 107期号:A7 |
DOI | 10.1029/2001JA000072 |
产权排序 | 第1完成单位 |
收录类别 | SCI |
关键词 | Solar Activity Cycle Sunspot Prediction Of Solar Activity |
摘要 | [1] It is well known that the first sunspot groups of a new cycle appear before sunspot minimum and continue to emerge for 12 or more years, ending after the following minimum. The period of time over which activity belonging to a specific cycle is observed is called the "extended activity cycle.'' A criterion for differentiating sunspot groups into their proper solar cycles during the overlapping, transitional period is proposed. The monthly sunspot group numbers during each extended activity cycle are constructed to show characteristics of solar activity for them. On the basis of the defining characteristics we estimate the conventional start of the beginning time of sunspot cycle 24 (the next cycle) to occur similar to2007.2 +/- 1 year, at the 68% percent level of confidence. |
语种 | 英语 |
学科领域 | Astronomy & Astrophysics |
文章类型 | Article |
ISSN | 0148-0227 |
URL | 查看原文 |
归档日期 | 2002-10-09 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000178982500035 |
WOS研究方向 | Astronomy & Astrophysics |
WOS类目 | Astronomy & Astrophysics |
关键词[WOS] | SUNSPOT CYCLE ; MINIMUM |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.ynao.ac.cn/handle/114a53/6051 |
专题 | 太阳物理研究组 |
通讯作者 | Li, KJ (reprint author), Natl Astron Observ, Beijing, Peoples R China. |
作者单位 | 1.Yunnan Observatory, Kunming, China 2.National Astronomical Observatories, Beijing, China. 3.Astronomy Program, SEES, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea 4.United Laboratory of Optical Astronomy, CAS, China |
第一作者单位 | 中国科学院云南天文台 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li KJ,Yun, HS,Liang HF,et al. Solar activity in extended cycles[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SPACE PHYSICS,2002,107(A7). |
APA | Li KJ,Yun, HS,Liang HF,Gu XM,&Li, KJ .(2002).Solar activity in extended cycles.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SPACE PHYSICS,107(A7). |
MLA | Li KJ,et al."Solar activity in extended cycles".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SPACE PHYSICS 107.A7(2002). |
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Solar activity in ex(208KB) | 期刊论文 | 作者接受稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 请求全文 |
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