| Solar cycle characteristics and their application in the prediction of cycle 25 | |
Li FY(李富羽)1,2,3,4 ; Kong DF(孔德芳)1,3,4; Xie JL(谢婧岚)1,3,4; Xiang NB(向南彬)1,3,4; Xu JC(徐景晨)1,2,3,4
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| 发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND SOLAR-TERRESTRIAL PHYSICS
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| 2018-12 | |
| 卷号 | 181页码:110-115 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.jastp.2018.10.014 |
| 产权排序 | 第1完成单位 |
| 收录类别 | SCI ; EI |
| 关键词 | Sunspots Methods: Statistical |
| 摘要 | The Solar Influences Data Analysis Center (SIDC) issued a new version (version 2) of the sunspot number data in July 2015. The 13-month smoothed monthly sunspot number from the new version is used for the first time to research the relations among the feature parameters of solar cycles under the bimodal distribution for the modern era cycles (10-23), and, their physical implications are discussed. These relations are utilized to predict the maximum amplitude of solar cycle 25. Cycle 25 is predicted to start in October 2020 and reach its maximum amplitude of 168.5 +/- 16.3 in October 2024, thus, it should be stronger than cycle 24 but weaker than cycle 23. |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[11573065] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[11633008] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[11703085] ; Specialized Research Fund for State Key Laboratories ; Chinese Academy of Sciences |
| 项目资助者 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[11573065, 11633008, 11703085] ; Specialized Research Fund for State Key Laboratories ; Chinese Academy of Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 学科领域 | 天文学 ; 太阳与太阳系 ; 太阳物理学 |
| 文章类型 | Article |
| 出版者 | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD |
| 出版地 | THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, ENGLAND |
| ISSN | 1364-6826 |
| URL | 查看原文 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000452936100003 |
| WOS研究方向 | Geochemistry & Geophysics ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS类目 | Geochemistry & Geophysics ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 关键词[WOS] | SUNSPOT-NUMBER ; MAXIMUM AMPLITUDE ; MERIDIONAL FLOW ; BIMODALITY ; MODEL ; SIZE ; TIME |
| EI入藏号 | 20184706106849 |
| EI主题词 | Solar Energy |
| 引用统计 | |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://ir.ynao.ac.cn/handle/114a53/18433 |
| 专题 | 太阳物理研究组 |
| 通讯作者 | Li FY(李富羽) |
| 作者单位 | 1.Yunnan Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, 650011, China 2.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China 3.State Key Laboratory of Space Weather, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China 4.Key Laboratory of Solar Activity, National Astronomical Observatories, CAS, Beijing, 100012, China |
| 第一作者单位 | 中国科学院云南天文台 |
| 通讯作者单位 | 中国科学院云南天文台 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li FY,Kong DF,Xie JL,et al. Solar cycle characteristics and their application in the prediction of cycle 25[J]. JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND SOLAR-TERRESTRIAL PHYSICS,2018,181:110-115. |
| APA | Li FY,Kong DF,Xie JL,Xiang NB,&Xu JC.(2018).Solar cycle characteristics and their application in the prediction of cycle 25.JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND SOLAR-TERRESTRIAL PHYSICS,181,110-115. |
| MLA | Li FY,et al."Solar cycle characteristics and their application in the prediction of cycle 25".JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND SOLAR-TERRESTRIAL PHYSICS 181(2018):110-115. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 文献类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Solar cycle characte（754KB） | 期刊论文 | 作者接受稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 请求全文 | |
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